PITCHER MATCHUP
Landen Roupp vs Atlanta Braves
How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Landen Roupp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Landen Roupp's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .284Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 37%Curveball 30%Changeup 19%Cutter 11%Four-Seam Fastball 4%
How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Landen Roupp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .317
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1 MO Matt Olson LHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Sinker (37% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (30% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 662 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .285
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Sinker (37% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (30% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Sinker (37% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (30% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Sinker (37% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (30% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 AR Austin Riley RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Sinker (37% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Sinker (37% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (30% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .359
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Sinker (37% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (30% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Sinker (37% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (30% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .282
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
- Sinker (37% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (30% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (4% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.