PITCHER MATCHUP

Landen Roupp vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Landen Roupp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Landen Roupp's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .326vs RHH xwOBA .282Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 37%Curveball 31%Changeup 19%Cutter 10%Four-Seam Fastball 3%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Landen Roupp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 GS George Springer RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.