PITCHER MATCHUP

Landen Roupp vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Landen Roupp's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Landen Roupp's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .280Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 38%Curveball 31%Changeup 18%Cutter 10%Four-Seam Fastball 3%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Landen Roupp, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .302
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 YP Yohendrick Piñango LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yohendrick Piñango
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MS Myles Straw RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.