PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Hart vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Hart's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Hart's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .250vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025
Sweeper 30%Sinker 24%Slider 14%Splitter 13%Four-Seam Fastball 13%Changeup 6%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Hart, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (13% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (13% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (13% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.