PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Hart vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Hart's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Hart's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .242vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026–2025
Sweeper 28%Sinker 28%Splitter 15%Slider 13%Four-Seam Fastball 12%Changeup 5%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Hart, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (15% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KK Kyle Karros RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (15% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.