PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Hart vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Hart's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Hart's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .233vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025
Sweeper 28%Sinker 27%Splitter 15%Slider 13%Four-Seam Fastball 12%Changeup 5%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Hart, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 650 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (15% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (15% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Lane Thomas RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.