PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Harrison vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Harrison's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Harrison's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 57%SV 29%Changeup 11%Sinker 2%Cutter 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Harrison, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.