PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Harrison vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Harrison's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Harrison's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .285vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 57%SV 29%Changeup 11%Sinker 2%Cutter 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Harrison, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 599 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EA Edwin Arroyo SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edwin Arroyo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-06 game page →