PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Harrison vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Harrison's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Harrison's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .283vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 57%SV 29%Changeup 11%Sinker 2%Cutter 1%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Harrison, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 560 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.