PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Harrison vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Harrison's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Harrison's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 57%SV 29%Changeup 11%Sinker 2%Cutter 1%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Harrison, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jake Mangum SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 HD Henry Davis RHB .257
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.