PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Harrison vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Harrison's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Harrison's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 57%SV 28%Changeup 12%Sinker 2%Cutter 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Harrison, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Bohm RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .367
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.