PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Harrison vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Harrison's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Harrison's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 58%SV 27%Changeup 12%Sinker 2%Cutter 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Harrison, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .367
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.