PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Harrison vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Harrison's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Harrison's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 57%SV 29%Changeup 11%Sinker 2%Cutter 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Harrison, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 719 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .366
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.