PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Harrison vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Harrison's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Harrison's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .282vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 57%SV 29%Changeup 11%Sinker 2%Cutter 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Harrison, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 705 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .368
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.