PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Harrison vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Harrison's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Harrison's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 57%SV 29%Changeup 11%Sinker 2%Cutter 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Harrison, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .332
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .381
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .429 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.