PITCHER MATCHUP
Kyle Harrison vs New York Mets
How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Harrison's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Kyle Harrison's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 57%SV 28%Changeup 11%Sinker 2%Cutter 1%
How the New York Mets's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Harrison, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .326
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1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 CB Carson Benge LHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (28% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 BB Brett Baty LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 586 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (28% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JY Jared Young LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (28% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 LT Luis Torrens RHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-25 game page →