PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Harrison vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Harrison's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Harrison's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 57%SV 29%Changeup 11%Sinker 2%Cutter 1%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Harrison, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .330
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.