PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Harrison vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Harrison's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Harrison's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .288vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 57%SV 28%Changeup 11%Sinker 3%Cutter 1%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Harrison, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .327
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 1 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 TW Taylor Ward RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 543 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 600 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 VR Victor Robles RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BD Brendan Donovan LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brendan Donovan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-18 game page →