PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Harrison vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Harrison's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Harrison's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 58%SV 28%Changeup 12%Sinker 2%Cutter 1%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Harrison, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 KM Ketel Marte SH .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 AD Adrian Del Castillo LHB .248
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adrian Del Castillo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .142 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LG Lourdes Gurriel Jr. RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JB Jorge Barrosa SH .242
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Barrosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .226 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-03 game page →