PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Harrison vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Harrison's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Harrison's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .283vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 57%SV 29%Changeup 11%Sinker 2%Cutter 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Harrison, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 580 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 560 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 618 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.