PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Harrison vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Harrison's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Harrison's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 57%SV 29%Changeup 11%Sinker 2%Cutter 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Harrison, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 PR Pedro Ramírez SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MA Miguel Amaya RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Amaya
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MS Matt Shaw RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Shaw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GA Gabriel Arias RHB .267
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Arias
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.