PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Harrison vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Harrison's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Harrison's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 57%SV 28%Changeup 12%Sinker 2%Cutter 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Harrison, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MB Michael Busch LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.