PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Harrison vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Harrison's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Harrison's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .288vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 57%SV 28%Changeup 11%Sinker 3%Cutter 1%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Harrison, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .272
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BJ Blaze Jordan RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Jordan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.