PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Harrison vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Harrison's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Harrison's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 57%SV 29%Changeup 11%Sinker 2%Cutter 1%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Harrison, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .271
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .275
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.