PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Harrison vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Harrison's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Harrison's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 57%SV 29%Changeup 11%Sinker 2%Cutter 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Harrison, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jim Jarvis LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jim Jarvis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SM Sean Murphy RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sean Murphy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.