PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Harrison vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Harrison's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Harrison's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .282vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 57%SV 29%Changeup 11%Sinker 2%Cutter 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Harrison, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 665 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.