PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Harrison vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Harrison's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Harrison's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 57%SV 28%Changeup 12%Sinker 2%Cutter 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Harrison, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 OA Ozzie Albies SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 MO Matt Olson LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 609 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MH Michael Harris II LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DS Dominic Smith LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .447 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.