PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Harrison vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Harrison's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Harrison's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 58%SV 27%Changeup 12%Sinker 2%Cutter 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Harrison, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 563 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AR Austin Riley RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MH Michael Harris II LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DS Dominic Smith LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JM Jorge Mateo RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Mateo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-20 game page →