PITCHER MATCHUP
Kyle Freeland vs Chicago White Sox
How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Freeland's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Kyle Freeland's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .359Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Knuckle Curve 24%Cutter 19%Changeup 10%Sinker 10%Sweeper 10%
How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Freeland, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .321
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1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 BD Brenton Doyle RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brenton Doyle
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.