PITCHER MATCHUP
Kyle Freeland vs Chicago White Sox
How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Freeland's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Kyle Freeland's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .360Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Knuckle Curve 24%Cutter 19%Changeup 10%Sinker 10%Sweeper 10%
How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Freeland, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .324
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1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .432 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-27 game page →