PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Freeland vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Freeland's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Freeland's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .356Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Knuckle Curve 23%Cutter 19%Changeup 10%Sweeper 10%Sinker 10%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Freeland, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .421 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 582 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Michael Massey LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KI Kyle Isbel LHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Isbel
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.