PITCHER MATCHUP
Kyle Freeland vs Washington Nationals
How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Freeland's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Kyle Freeland's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .356Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Knuckle Curve 23%Cutter 19%Changeup 10%Sweeper 10%Sinker 10%
How the Washington Nationals's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Freeland, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .317
-
1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
3 JW James Wood LHB .347
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
5 JY Jacob Young RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
8 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 BH Brady House RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.