PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Freeland vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Freeland's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Freeland's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .358Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Knuckle Curve 23%Cutter 18%Sweeper 11%Changeup 10%Sinker 8%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Freeland, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JW James Wood LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JY Jacob Young RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CM Curtis Mead RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DC Dylan Crews RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.