PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Freeland vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Freeland's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Freeland's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .328vs RHH xwOBA .357Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Knuckle Curve 24%Cutter 18%Sweeper 11%Changeup 10%Sinker 8%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Freeland, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 560 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 631 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 WA Willy Adames RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Casey Schmitt RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Casey Schmitt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EH Eric Haase RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eric Haase
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-11 game page →