PITCHER MATCHUP
Kyle Freeland vs San Francisco Giants
How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Freeland's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Kyle Freeland's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .356Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Knuckle Curve 23%Cutter 19%Changeup 10%Sweeper 10%Sinker 10%
How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Freeland, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .313
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1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 600 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 WA Willy Adames RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 595 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 CK Christian Koss RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 DC Drew Cavanaugh LHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Cavanaugh
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 VB Victor Bericoto RHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Bericoto
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 OB Osleivis Basabe RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Osleivis Basabe
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.