PITCHER MATCHUP
Kyle Freeland vs Los Angeles Dodgers
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Freeland's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Kyle Freeland's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .359Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Knuckle Curve 24%Cutter 18%Sweeper 11%Changeup 10%Sinker 8%
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Freeland, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .324
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1 AP Andy Pages RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 552 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .343
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 MM Max Muncy LHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 AF Alex Freeland SH .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 DR Dalton Rushing LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dalton Rushing
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.