PITCHER MATCHUP
Kyle Freeland vs Arizona Diamondbacks
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Freeland's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Kyle Freeland's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .358Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Knuckle Curve 24%Cutter 19%Changeup 10%Sweeper 10%Sinker 10%
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Freeland, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .322
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1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 648 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 602 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KM Ketel Marte SH .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-22 game page →