PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Freeland vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Freeland's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Freeland's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .359Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Knuckle Curve 24%Cutter 19%Changeup 10%Sinker 10%Sweeper 10%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Freeland, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 658 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KM Ketel Marte SH .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TT Tim Tawa RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JF Jose Fernandez RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Fernandez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.