PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Freeland vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Freeland's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Freeland's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .359Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Knuckle Curve 24%Cutter 19%Changeup 10%Sinker 10%Sweeper 10%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Freeland, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.