PITCHER MATCHUP
Kyle Freeland vs Milwaukee Brewers
How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Freeland's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Kyle Freeland's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .359Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Knuckle Curve 24%Cutter 19%Changeup 10%Sinker 10%Sweeper 10%
How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Freeland, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .322
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1 BT Brice Turang LHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 598 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 WC William Contreras RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .350
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 DH David Hamilton LHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 SF Sal Frelick LHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.