PITCHER MATCHUP
Kyle Freeland vs Milwaukee Brewers
How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Freeland's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Kyle Freeland's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .359Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Knuckle Curve 23%Cutter 19%Sweeper 11%Changeup 10%Sinker 8%
How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Freeland, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .329
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1 BT Brice Turang LHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 WC William Contreras RHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .352
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 JC Jackson Chourio SH .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 GS Gary Sánchez RHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gary Sánchez
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-26 game page →