PITCHER MATCHUP
Kyle Freeland vs Athletics
How the Athletics's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Freeland's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Kyle Freeland's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .361Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Knuckle Curve 24%Cutter 18%Sweeper 11%Changeup 10%Sinker 8%
How the Athletics's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Athletics's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Freeland, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .320
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1 SL Shea Langeliers RHB .343
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shea Langeliers
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 NK Nick Kurtz LHB .359
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Kurtz
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 TS Tyler Soderstrom LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Soderstrom
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 ZG Zack Gelof RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zack Gelof
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JW Jacob Wilson RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Wilson
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 MM Max Muncy RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.