PITCHER MATCHUP
Kyle Freeland vs Athletics
How the Athletics's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Freeland's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Kyle Freeland's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .359Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 29%Knuckle Curve 23%Cutter 19%Sweeper 11%Changeup 10%Sinker 8%
How the Athletics's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Athletics's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Freeland, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .315
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1 NK Nick Kurtz LHB .348
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Kurtz
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 TS Tyler Soderstrom LHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Soderstrom
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JW Jacob Wilson RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Wilson
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 HB Henry Bolte RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Bolte
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 JH Jonah Heim SH .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Heim
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 CT Colby Thomas RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colby Thomas
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.