PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Bradish vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Bradish's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Bradish's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .283Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 34%Slider 28%Curveball 20%Four-Seam Fastball 18%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Bradish, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-27 game page →