PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Bradish vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Bradish's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Bradish's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .310vs RHH xwOBA .285Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 34%Slider 28%Curveball 20%Four-Seam Fastball 19%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Bradish, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 SS Spencer Steer RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JB JJ Bleday LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF TJ Friedl LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-05 game page →