PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Bradish vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Bradish's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Bradish's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .281Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 36%Slider 26%Curveball 20%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Changeup 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Bradish, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 627 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Adley Rutschman SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CW Connor Wong RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TS Trevor Story RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-06 game page →