PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Bradish vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Bradish's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Bradish's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .280Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 34%Slider 28%Curveball 20%Four-Seam Fastball 18%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Bradish, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 590 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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