PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Bradish vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Bradish's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Bradish's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 36%Slider 26%Curveball 20%Four-Seam Fastball 18%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Bradish, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 645 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CM Curtis Mead RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.