PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Bradish vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Bradish's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Bradish's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .283Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 34%Slider 28%Curveball 20%Four-Seam Fastball 18%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Bradish, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 579 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 LR Luke Raley LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 CE Colt Emerson LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.