PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Bradish vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Bradish's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Bradish's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 36%Slider 26%Curveball 20%Four-Seam Fastball 18%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Bradish, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 576 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 630 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.