PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Bradish vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Bradish's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Bradish's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .313vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 33%Slider 29%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Curveball 19%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Bradish, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 LR Luke Raley LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 MG Mitch Garver RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mitch Garver
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RR Rob Refsnyder RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rob Refsnyder
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CE Colt Emerson LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 1 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-17 game page →