PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Bradish vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Bradish's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Bradish's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .319vs RHH xwOBA .285Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 35%Slider 27%Curveball 20%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Changeup 1%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Bradish, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 NC Nathan Church LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JF José Fermín RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BJ Blaze Jordan RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Jordan
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-26 game page →