PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Bradish vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Bradish's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Bradish's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .286Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 36%Slider 26%Curveball 20%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Changeup 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Bradish, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MS Myles Straw RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Sinker (36% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-12 game page →