PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Bradish vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Bradish's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Bradish's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .285Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 35%Slider 27%Curveball 20%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Changeup 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Bradish, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .398
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Sinker (35% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.