PITCHER MATCHUP

Kyle Bradish vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kyle Bradish's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kyle Bradish's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .280Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 34%Slider 28%Curveball 20%Four-Seam Fastball 18%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kyle Bradish, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .229 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .398
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .422 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BM Brice Matthews RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Matthews
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-19 game page →