PITCHER MATCHUP
Kumar Rocker vs Baltimore Orioles
How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kumar Rocker's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Kumar Rocker's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .377vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 31%Sinker 28%Cutter 18%Four-Seam Fastball 15%Changeup 6%Curveball 2%
How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kumar Rocker, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .319
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1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .359
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (2% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 LT Leody Taveras SH .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (2% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (2% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (2% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (2% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (2% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-09 game page →