PITCHER MATCHUP
Kumar Rocker vs Toronto Blue Jays
How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kumar Rocker's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Kumar Rocker's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .365vs RHH xwOBA .307Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 32%Sinker 29%Cutter 17%Four-Seam Fastball 16%Changeup 5%Curveball 2%
How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kumar Rocker, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .313
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1 EC Ernie Clement SH .288
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
- Slider (32% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
- Slider (32% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (29% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Slider (32% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (29% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
- Slider (32% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
- Slider (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
- Slider (32% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (29% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
- Slider (32% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JS Josh Smith LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Smith
- Slider (32% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (29% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 YP Yohendrick Piñango LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yohendrick Piñango
- Slider (32% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.