PITCHER MATCHUP

Kodai Senga vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kodai Senga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kodai Senga's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%FO 27%Cutter 20%Sweeper 8%Sinker 5%Slider 5%Curveball 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kodai Senga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 570 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.