PITCHER MATCHUP

Kodai Senga vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kodai Senga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kodai Senga's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .333vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%FO 27%Cutter 19%Sweeper 8%Sinker 5%Slider 5%Curveball 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kodai Senga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 609 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 541 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.