PITCHER MATCHUP

Kodai Senga vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kodai Senga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kodai Senga's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .336vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%FO 28%Cutter 18%Sweeper 8%Sinker 5%Slider 4%Curveball 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kodai Senga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (28% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (28% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (28% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (28% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.