PITCHER MATCHUP

Kodai Senga vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kodai Senga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kodai Senga's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%FO 27%Cutter 21%Sweeper 9%Sinker 6%Slider 4%Curveball 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kodai Senga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SS Spencer Steer RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Matt McLain RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JB JJ Bleday LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BD Blake Dunn RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blake Dunn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DM Dane Myers RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-16 game page →