PITCHER MATCHUP

Kodai Senga vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kodai Senga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kodai Senga's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%FO 27%Cutter 20%Sweeper 8%Sinker 5%Slider 5%Curveball 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kodai Senga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-31 game page →