PITCHER MATCHUP

Kodai Senga vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kodai Senga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kodai Senga's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .336vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%FO 28%Cutter 18%Sweeper 8%Sinker 5%Slider 4%Curveball 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kodai Senga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .329
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (28% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (28% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .364
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (28% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.