PITCHER MATCHUP

Kodai Senga vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kodai Senga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kodai Senga's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .333vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%FO 27%Cutter 19%Sweeper 8%Sinker 5%Slider 5%Curveball 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kodai Senga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • FO (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.