PITCHER MATCHUP

Kirby Yates vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kirby Yates's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kirby Yates's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .297vs RHH xwOBA .276Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 61%Splitter 37%Sweeper 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kirby Yates, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .225 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  8. 8 MV Matt Vierling RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.