PITCHER MATCHUP

Kevin Gausman vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kevin Gausman's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kevin Gausman's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Splitter 38%Slider 9%Sinker 1%Unknown 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kevin Gausman, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 595 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-29 game page →