PITCHER MATCHUP

Kevin Gausman vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kevin Gausman's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kevin Gausman's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Splitter 38%Slider 8%Sinker 1%Unknown 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kevin Gausman, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.