PITCHER MATCHUP

Kevin Gausman vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kevin Gausman's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kevin Gausman's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Splitter 38%Slider 9%Sinker 1%Unknown 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kevin Gausman, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .303
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 636 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 AR Adley Rutschman SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Trevor Story RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CW Connor Wong RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 EW Eli White RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NS Nick Sogard SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.