PITCHER MATCHUP

Kevin Gausman vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kevin Gausman's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kevin Gausman's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Splitter 37%Slider 9%Sinker 1%Unknown 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kevin Gausman, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 595 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-26 game page →