PITCHER MATCHUP

Kevin Gausman vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kevin Gausman's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kevin Gausman's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Splitter 38%Slider 8%Sinker 1%Unknown 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kevin Gausman, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 645 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CM Curtis Mead RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.