PITCHER MATCHUP

Kevin Gausman vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kevin Gausman's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kevin Gausman's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Splitter 37%Slider 9%Sinker 1%Unknown 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kevin Gausman, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .269
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 NF Nick Fortes RHB .271
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BW Ben Williamson RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-21 game page →