PITCHER MATCHUP

Kevin Gausman vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kevin Gausman's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kevin Gausman's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Splitter 38%Slider 8%Sinker 1%Unknown 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kevin Gausman, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .265
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.