PITCHER MATCHUP

Kevin Gausman vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kevin Gausman's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kevin Gausman's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Splitter 38%Slider 9%Sinker 1%Unknown 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kevin Gausman, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .269
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.