PITCHER MATCHUP

Kevin Gausman vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kevin Gausman's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kevin Gausman's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Splitter 38%Slider 9%Sinker 1%Unknown 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kevin Gausman, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TF Ty France RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LR Luis Rengifo SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.