PITCHER MATCHUP

Kevin Gausman vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kevin Gausman's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kevin Gausman's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Splitter 37%Slider 9%Sinker 1%Unknown 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kevin Gausman, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TF Ty France RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LR Luis Rengifo SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-12 game page →