PITCHER MATCHUP

Kevin Gausman vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kevin Gausman's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kevin Gausman's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Splitter 38%Slider 8%Sinker 1%Unknown 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kevin Gausman, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.