PITCHER MATCHUP
Kevin Gausman vs New York Mets
How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kevin Gausman's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Kevin Gausman's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Splitter 38%Slider 8%Sinker 1%Unknown 1%
How the New York Mets's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kevin Gausman, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .332
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1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
- Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (38% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 CB Carson Benge LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
- Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (38% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
- Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (38% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .224 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
- Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (38% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 BB Brett Baty LHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
- Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (38% usage) projects to .226 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
- Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (38% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JS Juan Soto LHB .405
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
- Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .468 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (38% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .357
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
- Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (38% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 JY Jared Young LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
- Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (38% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.