PITCHER MATCHUP

Kevin Gausman vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kevin Gausman's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kevin Gausman's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Splitter 38%Slider 9%Sinker 1%Unknown 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kevin Gausman, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-23 game page →