PITCHER MATCHUP

Kevin Gausman vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kevin Gausman's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kevin Gausman's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Splitter 38%Slider 8%Sinker 1%Unknown 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kevin Gausman, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .429 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.