PITCHER MATCHUP

Kevin Gausman vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kevin Gausman's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kevin Gausman's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Splitter 38%Slider 8%Sinker 1%Unknown 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kevin Gausman, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 PR Pedro Ramírez SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MA Miguel Amaya RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Amaya
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 MS Matt Shaw RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Shaw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GA Gabriel Arias RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Arias
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.