PITCHER MATCHUP

Kevin Gausman vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kevin Gausman's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kevin Gausman's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Splitter 38%Slider 9%Sinker 1%Unknown 1%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kevin Gausman, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MW Masyn Winn RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 NC Nathan Church LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JF José Fermín RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 VS Victor Scott II LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Scott II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.