PITCHER MATCHUP

Kevin Gausman vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kevin Gausman's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kevin Gausman's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Splitter 38%Slider 8%Sinker 1%Unknown 1%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kevin Gausman, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.