PITCHER MATCHUP

Kevin Gausman vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kevin Gausman's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kevin Gausman's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Splitter 37%Slider 9%Sinker 1%Unknown 1%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kevin Gausman, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IH Iván Herrera RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (37% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-01 game page →