PITCHER MATCHUP

Kevin Gausman vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kevin Gausman's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kevin Gausman's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Splitter 38%Slider 9%Sinker 1%Unknown 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kevin Gausman, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 665 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-15 game page →