PITCHER MATCHUP

Kevin Gausman vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Kevin Gausman's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Kevin Gausman's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Splitter 38%Slider 8%Sinker 1%Unknown 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Kevin Gausman, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jim Jarvis LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jim Jarvis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SM Sean Murphy RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sean Murphy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (38% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.