PITCHER MATCHUP
Keider Montero vs Chicago White Sox
How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Keider Montero's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Keider Montero's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .330vs RHH xwOBA .280Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Slider 21%Sinker 20%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 13%
How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Keider Montero, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .316
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1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 BD Brenton Doyle RHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brenton Doyle
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.