PITCHER MATCHUP

Keider Montero vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Keider Montero's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Keider Montero's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .335vs RHH xwOBA .278Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Slider 21%Sinker 20%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 13%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Keider Montero, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.