PITCHER MATCHUP

Keider Montero vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Keider Montero's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Keider Montero's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .348vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Slider 21%Sinker 18%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 13%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Keider Montero, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 BB Byron Buxton RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KC Kody Clemens SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AM Austin Martin RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RL Royce Lewis RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.