PITCHER MATCHUP

Keider Montero vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Keider Montero's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Keider Montero's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .287Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Slider 21%Sinker 20%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 13%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Keider Montero, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.