PITCHER MATCHUP

Keider Montero vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Keider Montero's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Keider Montero's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .287Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Slider 21%Sinker 20%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 13%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Keider Montero, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LT Leody Taveras SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CM Coby Mayo RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-27 game page →