PITCHER MATCHUP

Keider Montero vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Keider Montero's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Keider Montero's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .278Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Slider 21%Sinker 20%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 13%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Keider Montero, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .366
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.