PITCHER MATCHUP

Keider Montero vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Keider Montero's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Keider Montero's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .330vs RHH xwOBA .280Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Slider 21%Sinker 20%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 13%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Keider Montero, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.