PITCHER MATCHUP

Keider Montero vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Keider Montero's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Keider Montero's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .287Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Slider 21%Sinker 20%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 13%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Keider Montero, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 584 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Willy Adames RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DS Daniel Susac RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Susac
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Drew Cavanaugh LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Cavanaugh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  8. 8 CK Christian Koss RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GM Grant McCray LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Grant McCray
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-07 game page →