PITCHER MATCHUP

Keider Montero vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Keider Montero's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Keider Montero's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .330vs RHH xwOBA .280Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Slider 21%Sinker 20%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 13%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Keider Montero, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 WA Willy Adames RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CS Casey Schmitt RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Casey Schmitt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MC Matt Chapman RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Chapman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Marcelo Mayer LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcelo Mayer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CK Christian Koss RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.