PITCHER MATCHUP

Keider Montero vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Keider Montero's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Keider Montero's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .279Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Slider 21%Sinker 20%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 13%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Keider Montero, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 AB Alex Bregman RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 543 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 605 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Tyrone Taylor RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyrone Taylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.