PITCHER MATCHUP

Keider Montero vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Keider Montero's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Keider Montero's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .335vs RHH xwOBA .278Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Slider 21%Sinker 20%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 13%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Keider Montero, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-16 game page →