PITCHER MATCHUP

Keider Montero vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Keider Montero's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Keider Montero's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .330vs RHH xwOBA .280Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Slider 21%Sinker 20%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 13%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Keider Montero, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .395
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.